For those of you closely watching the Bakkt narrative, in the hopes that the launch of the Intercontinental Exchange initiative will bust the bear market – we’ve got some good news for you. Sources in and around both the CFTC and Bakkt have been whispering about a potential approval and firm launch date.
It looks increasingly likely, pending any disruption via another US government shutdown, that Bakkt will win its CFTC approval and begin trading physically deliverable Bitcoin futures in March. The sources we spoke to refused to go on record, but were eager to share the potential timeline with us. They walked us through the ‘meat grinder’ that is the regulatory process and what to expect from Bakkt once an approval is passed on.
A source familiar with the Bakkt CFTC approval process said the following:
“You have to understand that the regulatory process is different than any reasonable business practice that most of you would recognize. It is ridiculous if you ask me. But it is the reality that we are faced with and are operating in. And understand this as well, the current administration is incredibly pro-business and pro-innovation; yet this process is still a meat grinder. I am sure that Jeff (Sprecher) and Kelly (Loeffler) are frustrated. Most believed that an approval would have come late last year. Either way, here we are, and an approval looks imminent.”
A source close to Bakkt (an early institutional investor in the project) gave us this piece of information late last night:
“In a way the delays have helped gather clients who will provide liquidity and volume at launch. The Bakkt team has used the time wisely and spent endless hours courting some of the biggest banks and names on the street to be trusted trade partners from the word ‘go’. All signs look to be headed toward mid-March for a final CFTC sign off. And for those out there that have talked about Bakkt delaying for an extended period of time – that is ridiculous. Take a close look at the resume of Jeff (Sprecher) and Kelly (Loeffler), they aren’t in the business of losing. The launch will occur days after approval is finalized. Short of an elongated government shutdown, expect that to happen in March.”
Bakkt remains the most closely watched institutional development in the crypto space. Why? The vast network of potential clients already committed to Intercontinental Exchange operations (essentially ALL of Wall Street and any financial institution that trades commodities with any meaningful volume) could be the type of Bitcoin volume that could break the back of the bear market and send Bitcoin higher.
Beyond simply a well-heeled potential client list, should Bakkt be successful their announced joint venture partners, Microsoft and Starbucks (Boston Consulting Group – BCG is also an announced joint venture partner, but we will cover that connection in a separate article), represent that kind of adoption and real world ‘use-case’ network that could potentially bring Bitcoin to the masses. Retail, tech, software, devices, and on and on. This is the Bitcoin dream that has brought some of the worlds most well known venture capital firms to the Bakkt table.
The chatter regarding an imminent (albeit 30-45 days) approval from the CFTC should create a buzz and keep the team at Bakkt on alert. If you’ve been keeping score their staff has more than tripled and the list of job openings continues to grow.
They are preparing for the biggest Bitcoin push the crypto ecosystem has ever seen. That isn’t hyperbole. Google search the daily trading volume of gold futures and prepare to have your mind blown. The only way Bitcoin can be added to the Starbucks app and used to pay for your next ‘coffee milkshake’ is the promise of serious liquidity and price transparency. Bakkt is set to provide that in spades.